I was discussing an aviation
condition called INCERFA (uncertainty) that is declared when an aircraft fails
to report or arrive within 30 minutes (I thought or remembered 15 minutes) of schedule.
Malaysian 370 (MH370) should have contacted
the Vietnam Flight Information Region or Area Control (Ho Chi Minh) within 30 minutes of the
last transmission (the one often mistakenly said to be "all right good
night." )
So the communications are or were:
Radar at 01:19:24: Malaysian Three Seven
Zero contact Ho Chi Minh 120
decimal 9[1]
Good Night (this is the
radio frequency 120.9)
Cockpit at 01:19:29: Good Night Malaysian Three Seven Zero
The next transmission at or before or
about 01:50:00 should have been something like:
Ho Chi Minh Good Morning Mayasian 370
level at 350 (a fight level, for these purposes roughly equivalent to 35,000 ft.)
At around 01:50:00 or thereabouts, upon
not hearing from MH370, Ho Chi Minh should have done something. This because the
Malaysian FIR would have advised them (Ho Chi Minh,) much earlier, of all the particulars of
a flight that would be entering their airspace; especially including when.
As before, Vietnam was compelled by ICAO rules
to make inquiry of the Malaysian FIR or Area Control, create or declare a(n) INCERFA , and to
escalate through ALERFA (alert) and DETRESFA (distress) if the need arose. This can and could have be done in concert with others. The
need did arise.
The above was a gross failure that has not been
mentioned or not in enough detail. The distances, including radar coverage and manoeuvers that I recall
seeing, seem to indicate that attention to procedural requirements would have
made things clearer for us today; Especially for Search and Rescue or Recovery reasons.
The authorities did say that the airplane made a hair-pin
turn, according to radar records, but there is no indication of when, in terms of time, with
respect INCERFA requirements and who have control responsibilities; clearly Vietnam.
I'VE BEEN WALKING MY MIND THROUGH AN EASY TIME
WITH MY BACK TURNED TOWARDS THE SUN
LORD KNOWS WHEN THE COLD WIND BLOWS IT WILL TURN YOUR HEAD AROUND
I'VE SPENT HOURS OF TIME ON THE TELEPHONE LINE
JUST TO TALK ABOUT THINGS TO COME
SWEET DREAMS AND FLYING MACHINES
IN PIECES ON THE GROUND.
-- James Taylor, Fire and Rain
This is all recollection.
I'VE BEEN WALKING MY MIND THROUGH AN EASY TIME
WITH MY BACK TURNED TOWARDS THE SUN
LORD KNOWS WHEN THE COLD WIND BLOWS IT WILL TURN YOUR HEAD AROUND
I'VE SPENT HOURS OF TIME ON THE TELEPHONE LINE
JUST TO TALK ABOUT THINGS TO COME
SWEET DREAMS AND FLYING MACHINES
IN PIECES ON THE GROUND.
-- James Taylor, Fire and Rain
This is all recollection.
Our women are far more qualified than I ever
was.
[1]
This is an Air Traffic Control Instruction, despite the fact that it
does not contain the word immediately.
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